Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 3.675334 4.075114 4.509610 5.018469 5.600036 6.246244 7.021767
2025-08-03 3.127930 3.666278 4.293254 5.083297 6.060563 7.240677 8.790231
2025-08-10 2.769248 3.377236 4.121590 5.111783 6.412453 8.088403 10.454060
2025-08-17 2.436773 3.061269 3.855208 4.956275 6.472246 8.529670 11.611157
2025-08-24 2.209641 2.846477 3.682527 4.884498 6.609182 9.060973 12.937256
2025-08-31 2.040514 2.687185 3.560589 4.857386 6.789221 9.655494 14.423538
2025-09-07 1.952612 2.627264 3.564177 5.000471 7.222321 10.666029 16.706051
2025-09-14 1.828575 2.504239 3.464411 4.976255 7.390817 11.276211 18.413789
2025-09-21 1.713592 2.384059 3.356709 4.925704 7.505751 11.804146 20.052141
2025-09-28 1.568147 2.208321 3.151941 4.703042 7.312811 11.782300 20.665022
2025-10-05 1.502809 2.147289 3.115644 4.744169 7.562132 12.555593 22.926473
2025-10-12 1.455241 2.109403 3.111189 4.834882 7.903282 13.533568 25.774980
2025-10-19 1.411390 2.075868 3.113369 4.940929 8.291360 14.668735 29.230096
2025-10-26 1.362188 2.030572 3.093054 5.006061 8.611694 15.719090 32.736866
2025-11-02 1.310026 1.976868 3.054449 5.034253 8.863358 16.664171 36.212268
2025-11-09 1.229402 1.871819 2.922460 4.881673 8.744143 16.809479 37.731444
2025-11-16 1.169896 1.798216 2.839056 4.811229 8.780542 17.295187 40.243390
2025-11-23 1.122379 1.741935 2.781774 4.784618 8.902877 17.988962 43.489078
2025-11-30 1.104978 1.735473 2.810924 4.925056 9.390491 19.600377 49.790648
2025-12-07 1.063433 1.685138 2.758519 4.901290 9.520564 20.375740 53.810853
2025-12-14 1.020929 1.630916 2.695761 4.851675 9.587678 21.004980 57.553254
2025-12-21 0.957229 1.536543 2.554540 4.633111 9.251388 20.558873 57.622506
2025-12-28 0.933258 1.511472 2.540032 4.673484 9.515562 21.722793 63.584738